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Thursday, January 9, 2025

Tesla (TSLA) inventory will get downgraded to “Impartial” by Financial institution of America


Financial institution of America analyst John Murphy has downgraded Tesla inventory (NASDAQ:TSLA) from a “Purchase” to a “Impartial” score.

The analyst, nonetheless, additionally raised his value goal for TSLA shares from $400 to $490 per share.

Tesla’s post-election rally and This fall outcomes:

  • As famous in a report from The Avenue, TSLA shares have seen a notable rise since Donald Trump secured his win within the 2024 U.S. presidential elections.
  • Whereas TSLA shares already had momentum then from the corporate’s Q3 outcomes, Trump’s win helped push a 60% surge within the firm’s inventory from the November elections to the top of 2024.
  • Tesla’s This fall and FY 2024 car supply outcomes have been weaker than anticipated, with the corporate posting an total annual gross sales decline. 
  • On the flip facet, Tesla Power had a blockbuster yr by deploying a document 11 GWh of vitality storage in This fall and 31.4 GWh of vitality storage in FY 2024.

Financial institution of America’s take:

  • Whereas Murphy famous that Tesla may even see improved investor sentiment, he highlighted that there are some execution dangers for the corporate this yr.
  • Following are Murphy’s feedback:
  • “We downgrade TSLA from Purchase to Impartial. Since our improve in April 2024, information movement and investor sentiment have shifted extra positively. Catalysts round future progress drivers have been extra totally acknowledged (most notably for Robotaxi). Our newest valuation evaluation drives our PO to $490 PO (was $400). Whereas this nonetheless implies upside, execution danger is excessive and TSLA is buying and selling at a degree that captures a lot of our base case LT potential from core autos, robotaxi, Optimus, and vitality era & storage. We transfer to Impartial.
  • On this report, we additionally replace estimates to replicate our newest evaluation of TSLA’s completely different companies. There are catalysts forward, which might assist the inventory. Nonetheless, execution danger is excessive, supporting our Impartial score. These embrace: 1) Introduction of a low value mannequin in 1H:25 and one other new mannequin in 2H:25 (key drivers of quantity progress); 2) Launch of robotaxi in mid-2025; 3) Megapack manufacturing ramp at Shanghai meeting plant beginning in 1Q:25; 4) Updates on FSD subscribers; 5) Begin of broader manufacturing of Optimus, with goal of 1,000 items by finish of 2025; 6) Threat of latest coverage being much less favorable for TSLA than anticipated; 7) A capital increase – constructive as it might assist speed up progress.”

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Tesla (TSLA) inventory will get downgraded to “Impartial” by Financial institution of America








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